All the way back in April in my original thread about Windows XP with modern versions of Minecraft, I pondered what the performance would be like on physical hardware. A few months later as a bit of an experiment, I decided to see using a computer with hardware supported by Windows XP. After (painfully) getting MultiMC and Java to play nicely, I was able to launch the game. Better yet, I was able to connect to the server and actually play on it.
Surprisingly, it runs pretty decently, running around 40 FPS on average.